Based on data from the Democracy Fund’s VOTER survey, this party would be the best fit for about 14 percent of the electorate. Its potential leaders include Josh Hawley, Tom Cotton and Tucker Carlson. Its strongest support among lower-income conservatives comes from exurban America. It is economically populist and strongly anti-immigration. The Patriot Party is the party of Donald Trump’s 2016 primary campaign: the coalition of the small town, white working-class Americans who feel left behind by globalism and condescended to by cosmopolitanism. Its potential leaders include Larry Hogan, Charlie Baker, Mitt Romney, John Kasich and Michael Bloomberg. It is the heir to the old moderate “Rockefeller Republican,” the East Coast wing of the G.O.P. The Growth and Opportunity Party is the socially moderate, pro-business wing of the Republican Party. Based on data from the Democracy Fund’s VOTER survey, this party would be the best fit for about 12 percent of the electorate. Its potential leaders include Sherrod Brown, Jon Tester and Tim Ryan. It is more moderate on social and cultural issues compared with the Progressive Party, but also more diverse, appealing to many working-class Hispanics.
The American Labor Party is focused on economic populism, with an appeal to working-class Democrats who don’t have college degrees and don’t follow politics closely. Based on data from the Democracy Fund’s VOTER survey, this party would be the best fit for about 26 percent of the electorate. Its potential leaders include Pete Buttigieg, Cory Booker, Eric Garcetti and Beto O’Rourke. Members are cosmopolitan in their social and racial views but more pro-business and more likely to see the wealthy as innovators. The New Liberal Party is the professional-class establishment wing of the Democratic Party. Its potential leaders include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Elizabeth Warren or Julián Castro. Its strongest support comes from politically engaged, highly educated younger people, especially women. The Progressive Party is focused on equity and racial justice, with a strong vision of inclusive social democracy.